{"id":1897,"date":"2009-10-06T15:04:51","date_gmt":"2009-10-06T19:04:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/?p=1897"},"modified":"2009-10-06T15:04:51","modified_gmt":"2009-10-06T19:04:51","slug":"optimistic-economists-weigh-in-on-climate-change","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/2009\/10\/06\/optimistic-economists-weigh-in-on-climate-change\/","title":{"rendered":"Optimistic economists weigh in on climate change"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">A group called <a href=\"http:\/\/www.e3network.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Economics for Equity and the Environment<\/a> released a report today detailing their predicted costs for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.\u00a0 According to <a href=\"http:\/\/www.washingtonpost.com\/wp-dyn\/content\/article\/2009\/10\/06\/AR2009100600018.html?referrer=emailarticle\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">this article in the Washington Post<\/a>, the cost could be as low as between one and three percent of the country\u2019s GDP each year to reduce the levels of carbon dioxide in the Earth\u2019s atmosphere to 350 parts per million (ppm) from the current 387.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">The groups emphasizes the 350 number, saying that a 450ppm limit, put forth by many climate experts, would be far too much to avoid the negative impacts of ocean acidification, sea level rise and severe droughts.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">The report itself focuses on calculating the least-cost way of achieving the 350ppm goal by either the year 2100. A few of their requirements:<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">(1)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Coal burning must be completely phased out or achieve 100 percent capture efficiency of carbon capture by the year 2030.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">(2)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Oil and gas reserves can be used freely according to the IPCC estimates of their reserve levels.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">(3)\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0 Ending deforestation and initiating large-scale reforestation would have to bring land-use carbon emissions to zero by 2015 and become a force of carbon sequestration by 2030.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">As much as we all want attitudes about greenhouse gases and reduction of energy use to change for the better (<a href=\"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/?p=1885\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">see this recent post<\/a>), these projections strike me as severely optimistic.\u00a0 The small price tag is tantalizing, but doesn\u2019t this goal seem  too farfetched?<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">Read the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.e3network.org\/papers\/Economics_of_350.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">whole report here<\/a>. I welcome your thoughts. <\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A group called Economics for Equity and the Environment released a report today detailing their predicted costs for reducing greenhouse gas emissions.\u00a0 According to this article in the Washington Post, the cost could be as low as between one and three percent of the country\u2019s GDP each year to reduce the levels of carbon dioxide in the Earth\u2019s atmosphere to&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":50,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8,10,48],"tags":[60,34,178],"class_list":["post-1897","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-conservation","category-ecology-in-policy","category-ecology-and-society","tag-climate-change","tag-economics","tag-greenhouse-gases"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1897","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/50"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1897"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1897\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1897"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1897"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1897"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}