{"id":3582,"date":"2010-06-11T17:27:08","date_gmt":"2010-06-11T21:27:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/?p=3582"},"modified":"2010-06-11T17:27:08","modified_gmt":"2010-06-11T21:27:08","slug":"nonlinear-risk-and-the-limitations-of-democracy-academic-cross-training-as-a-partial-remedy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/2010\/06\/11\/nonlinear-risk-and-the-limitations-of-democracy-academic-cross-training-as-a-partial-remedy\/","title":{"rendered":"Nonlinear risk and the limitations of democracy:  Academic cross-training as a partial remedy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><em>This post contributed by ESA Science Policy Analyst Piper Corp.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">It isn\u2019t surprising that climate legislation is stalling in Congress. In tough economic times, an emissions cap\u2014like any other major investment\u2014is a tough sell at best, requiring US households and industry to swallow added costs in the short-term for projected savings down the road. What\u2019s more, the current symptoms of rising temperatures don\u2019t reflect the magnitude of changes to come. Like many other contemporary challenges, climate change is nonlinear\u2014policymakers have to draw from scientific models, not current observations, when making decisions.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">But climate-related struggles in Congress suggest a larger dilemma: Can our legal system adequately address nonlinear processes? Legislative priorities reflect the concerns of constituents\u2014concerns dominated by the most immediate demands. When time and funds are short, the squeaky wheel almost always gets the oil, and ecological risks are often comparatively silent until they reach a tipping point. Once we experience the magnitude of change necessary to elicit widespread public response, much of that change may be irreversible.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">According to scientist James Lovelock, best known for proposing the <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.gaiatheory.org\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"color: #000000\">Gaia Theory<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000\">, democracy is not cut out for addressing climate change. In a recent <\/span><a href=\"http:\/\/www.guardian.co.uk\/science\/2010\/mar\/29\/james-lovelock-climate-change\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"color: #000000\">interview<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000\">, Lovelock said:<\/span><\/p>\n<blockquote>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px\"><span style=\"color: #000000\">We need a more authoritative world. We\u2019ve become a sort of cheeky, egalitarian world where everyone can have their say. It\u2019s all very well, but there are certain circumstances \u2013 a war is a typical example \u2013 where you can\u2019t do that. You\u2019ve got to have a few people with authority who you trust who are running it. And they should be very accountable too, of course.<\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"padding-left: 30px\"><span style=\"color: #000000\">But it can\u2019t happen in a modern democracy. This is one of the problems. What\u2019s the alternative to democracy? There isn\u2019t one. But even the best democracies agree that when a major war approaches, democracy must be put on hold for the time being. I have a feeling that climate change may be an issue as severe as a war. It may be necessary to put democracy on hold for a while.<\/span><\/p>\n<\/blockquote>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\"><a href=\"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog-preprod\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/90\/2010\/06\/James-Lovelock2.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-3592 img-fluid\" style=\"margin: 5px 10px\" title=\"James Lovelock\" src=\"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog-preprod\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/90\/2010\/06\/James-Lovelock2.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"225\" height=\"169\"><\/a>Obviously, this is an unlikely scenario. So what do we do? As in previous <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/ecology-in-policy\/pondering-the-authority-of-science\/\"><span style=\"color: #000000\">discussions<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000\"> of science and policy, it seems that taking a successful integrative approach doesn\u2019t just mean listening to both science and other parts of society; it means rethinking the ways we design experiments and approach policymaking. Integration, in other words, must happen from the get-go\u2014a somewhat lofty requirement to be sure. In environmental policy, most scientists don\u2019t fully understand the political implications of their work, just as most lawmakers don\u2019t fully understand the science behind their decisions. Rather, individuals from both groups research the issue on their own, consulting experts as needed, until they have enough information to answer their questions. But expertise has as much to do with knowing which questions to ask as it does with knowing the answers. Particularly in ecology, where society is <em>part<\/em> of the system, it seems that both scientists and lawmakers could benefit tremendously from a more in-depth understanding of each other\u2019s fields.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog-preprod\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/90\/2010\/06\/shirey-college-of-science-picture.jpg\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignleft size-full wp-image-3594 img-fluid\" style=\"margin: 5px 10px\" title=\"shirey - college of science picture\" src=\"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog-preprod\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/90\/2010\/06\/shirey-college-of-science-picture.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"91\" height=\"124\"><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"color: #000000\">In the latest <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/esa.org\/egwash\/?p=164\"><em><span style=\"color: #000000\">Ecologist Goes to Washington<\/span><\/em><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000\"> podcast, ESA Graduate Student Policy Award winner Patrick Shirey discusses the government response to another significant ecological risk: invasive species. Shirey began his Ph.D. in biology at the University of Notre Dame after earning his law degree and MS in wildlife science. Focusing on the potential <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/ecology-in-policy\/feds-battle-asian-carp-invasion-in-the-great-lakes\/\"><span style=\"color: #000000\">Asian carp<\/span><\/a><span style=\"color: #000000\"> invasion in the Great Lakes, he discusses how his background in law has changed and enhanced his understanding of ecological issues and the options for addressing them with policy.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>This post contributed by ESA Science Policy Analyst Piper Corp. It isn\u2019t surprising that climate legislation is stalling in Congress. In tough economic times, an emissions cap\u2014like any other major investment\u2014is a tough sell at best, requiring US households and industry to swallow added costs in the short-term for projected savings down the road. What\u2019s more, the current symptoms of&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":41,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[10],"tags":[523,50,830,109,831,832,449,833],"class_list":["post-3582","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-ecology-in-policy","tag-asian-carp","tag-climate-legislation","tag-democracy-and-climate-change","tag-invasive-species","tag-james-lovelock","tag-patrick-shirey","tag-science-and-policy","tag-the-ecologist-goes-to-washington-podcast"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3582","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/41"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3582"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3582\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3582"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3582"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/esa.org\/esablog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3582"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}